Podhale Nowy Targ 63%Draw 21%Lechia Zielona Góra 16%Expected goals 2.44 – 1.20
84%
Betarazi pick
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Podhale Nowy Targ to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chancePodhale Nowy Targ or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lechia Zielona Góra travel to face Podhale Nowy Targ on Sunday 18 October in the II Liga East, with Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Lechia Zielona Góra are 9th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chojniczanka Chojnice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Legia Warszawa II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Podhale Nowy Targ, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 2.4 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 63%, draw 21%, Lechia Zielona Góra 16%.
Lower-risk option: Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Podhale Nowy Targ to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podhale Nowy Targ63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Lechia Zielona Góra16%fair 6.24 · @3.60
3.64Expected goals
2.44Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.20Lechia Zielona Góra xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 2.4 – 1.2 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win✗
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Podhale Nowy Targ (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Podhale Nowy Targ -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Podhale Nowy Targ to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Podhale Nowy Targ ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
DWLWWW
9 Oct
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Legia Warszawa II
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
LWLWLL
10 Oct
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Znicz Pruszków
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Świt Skolwin
1–4
L
2 Sep
vs Ruch Chorzów
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Lechia Zielona Góra.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Podhale Nowy Targ or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lechia Zielona Góra 16%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
