Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the II Liga East brings Podhale Nowy Targ against Avia Świdnik at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Avia Świdnik are 12th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Znicz Pruszków, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Avia Świdnik, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hutnik Kraków, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avia Świdnik, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 1.8 xG, Avia Świdnik 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 54%, draw 22%, Avia Świdnik 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Avia Świdnik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podhale Nowy Targ54%fair 1.87 · @1.92
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
Avia Świdnik25%fair 4.03 · @3.44
2.91Expected goals
1.79Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.13Avia Świdnik xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.8 – 1.1 Avia Świdnik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Podhale Nowy Targ
Avia Świdnik
Attack vs II Liga East average
+8%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.06
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win
54%
1.87
1.92
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Podhale Nowy Targ (draw no bet)
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Avia Świdnik +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Podhale Nowy Targ to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
DDLDDD
7 Nov
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs Świt Skolwin
2–2
D
28 Oct
@ Sokół Kleczew
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Tychy 71
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avia Świdnik – last 6
WLDLWW
8 Nov
vs Hutnik Kraków
2–1
W
2 Nov
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Znicz Pruszków
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Śląsk Wrocław II
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Avia Świdnik.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avia Świdnik 25%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Avia Świdnik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
