Value bet: Grazer AK to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRied to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Ried vs Grazer AK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Bundesliga brings Ried against Grazer AK at Josko Arena. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Ried are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Grazer AK are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Ried, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lask Linz, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Grazer AK, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–8 defeat to Rapid Vienna, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Ried 2–1 Grazer AK. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ried 1 win, Grazer AK 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ried 1.8 xG, Grazer AK 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ried 45%, draw 22%, Grazer AK 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Grazer AK to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ried 1–1 Grazer AK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ried45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Grazer AK33%fair 3.05 · @3.70
3.31Expected goals
1.79Ried xG
1.51Grazer AK xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Ried 1.8 – 1.5 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ried vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers Ried have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grazer AK 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–1 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Grazer AK?
Ried vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Josko Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
