Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Austria Lustenau travel to face Sturm Graz on Saturday 22 August in the Bundesliga, with Merkur-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Austria Lustenau are 8th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SCR Altach, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Austria Lustenau, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wolfsberger AC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 2.1 xG, Austria Lustenau 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 71%, draw 20%, Austria Lustenau 9%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sturm Graz to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 2–0 Austria Lustenau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
Austria Lustenau9%fair 10.64 · @9.40
2.70Expected goals
2.07Sturm Graz xG
0.62Austria Lustenau xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 2.1 – 0.6 Austria Lustenau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Sturm Graz – last 6
WLWLDW
15 Aug
vs SCR Altach
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ TSV Hartberg
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Heart Of Midlothian
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Austria Lustenau – last 6
WLDWLD
15 Aug
vs Wolfsberger AC
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Grazer AK
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Ried
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Krems Rehberg
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ Nürnberg II
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
Our pick is Sturm Graz to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Austria Lustenau 9%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2–0 Austria Lustenau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
