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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sturm Graz v Lask Linz: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Merkur-Arena
2–1
FT
Sturm Graz 33%Draw 21%Lask Linz 46% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.54
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLask Linz to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Bundesliga brings Sturm Graz against Lask Linz at Merkur-Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Lask Linz are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Sturm Graz, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Voitsberg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Lask Linz, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sturm Graz 0 wins, Lask Linz 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.3 xG, Lask Linz 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 33%, draw 21%, Lask Linz 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sturm Graz33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Lask Linz46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
2.80Expected goals
1.26Sturm Graz xG
1.54Lask Linz xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.3 – 1.5 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLask Linz to win ✗46%2.192.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.50
Draw no betLask Linz (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapSturm Graz +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLask Linz to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lask Linz / FT Lask Linz ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

Sturm Graz – last 6

WLDWLW
5 Sep@ Voitsberg4–1W
30 Aug@ Rapid Vienna1–3L
22 Augvs Austria Lustenau1–1D
15 Augvs SCR Altach1–0W
11 Augvs Fenerbahçe0–1L
8 Aug@ TSV Hartberg2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lask Linz – last 6

LWWWWL
8 Sep@ AEK Athens FC0–1L
5 Sep@ Deutschlandsberger SC6–1W
1 Sep@ Wolfsberger AC3–1W
29 Augvs SCR Altach3–0W
25 Augvs Celtic4–1W
19 Aug@ Celtic0–3L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Sturm Graz v Lask Linz1–1
19 Apr 2026Lask Linz v Sturm Graz1–1
Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?

On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lask Linz 46%.

How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?

Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.