Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Red Bull Salzburg welcome Sturm Graz to Red Bull Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Levski Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sturm Graz, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rennes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Sturm Graz.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Red Bull Salzburg 2.0 xG, Sturm Graz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Red Bull Salzburg 64%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 13%.
Lower-risk option: Red Bull Salzburg or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Red Bull Salzburg or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Red Bull Salzburg64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
Sturm Graz13%fair 7.91 · @4.40
2.75Expected goals
1.98Red Bull Salzburg xG
0.77Sturm Graz xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 2.0 – 0.8 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz 13%.
How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
