Austria Vienna 36%Draw 22%Sturm Graz 41%Expected goals 1.27 – 1.37
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Austria Vienna to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz travel to face Austria Vienna on Saturday 10 October in the Bundesliga, with Generali Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Austria Vienna are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Austria Vienna, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Admira Wacker, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Sturm Graz, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Floridsdorfer AC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Austria Vienna 2–5 Sturm Graz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austria Vienna 1.3 xG, Sturm Graz 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austria Vienna 36%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Austria Vienna to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austria Vienna36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Sturm Graz41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
2.64Expected goals
1.27Austria Vienna xG
1.37Sturm Graz xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Austria Vienna 1.3 – 1.4 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Austria Vienna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Generali Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
