Sturm Graz 57%Draw 25%Grazer AK 18%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.85
82%
Betarazi pick
Sturm Graz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Bundesliga brings Sturm Graz against Grazer AK at Merkur-Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Grazer AK are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bournemouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Grazer AK, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Red Bull Salzburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.7 xG, Grazer AK 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 57%, draw 25%, Grazer AK 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sturm Graz or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sturm Graz or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–0 Grazer AK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.50
Grazer AK18%fair 5.66 · @3.90
2.56Expected goals
1.71Sturm Graz xG
0.85Grazer AK xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.7 – 0.9 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Grazer AK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Sturm Graz – last 6
LWWLDW
15 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Austria Vienna
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Floridsdorfer AC
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Rennes
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Lask Linz
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grazer AK – last 6
DWDWWD
10 Oct
vs Red Bull Salzburg
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ Kalsdorf
5–1
W
19 Sep
vs Austria Vienna
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ SCR Altach
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Kitzbühel
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Wolfsberger AC
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grazer AK 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–0 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
