Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Sturm Graz vs Ried: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Bundesliga brings Sturm Graz against Ried at Stadion Graz-Liebenau. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Ried are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marseille, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Ried, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Austria Vienna, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 2.1 xG, Ried 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 59%, draw 24%, Ried 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sturm Graz or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sturm Graz or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.90
Ried16%fair 6.06 · @4.20
3.17Expected goals
2.10Sturm Graz xG
1.07Ried xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 2.1 – 1.1 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Sturm Graz – last 6
WWLWWL
22 Oct
vs Marseille
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Grazer AK
6–1
W
15 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Austria Vienna
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Floridsdorfer AC
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ried – last 6
WWDWDW
17 Oct
vs Austria Vienna
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ WSG Wattens
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs SKU Amstetten
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Wolfsberger AC
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Wallern Marienkirchen
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Ried.
Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Ried?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ried 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
