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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Merkur-Arena
0–4
FT
Grazer AK 39%Draw 23%TSV Hartberg 38% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.64
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGrazer AK to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

TSV Hartberg travel to face Grazer AK on Friday 30 October in the Bundesliga, with Merkur-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Grazer AK are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; TSV Hartberg are 4th (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Grazer AK, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to SCR Altach, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

TSV Hartberg, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austria Vienna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours TSV Hartberg, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Grazer AK.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grazer AK 1.7 xG, TSV Hartberg 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grazer AK 39%, draw 23%, TSV Hartberg 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: TSV Hartberg to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grazer AK 1–1 TSV Hartberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grazer AK39%fair 2.57 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
TSV Hartberg38%fair 2.64 · @3.25
3.30Expected goals
1.66Grazer AK xG
1.64TSV Hartberg xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.7 – 1.6 TSV Hartberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrazer AK to win ✗39%2.572.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.67 ▲
Draw no betGrazer AK (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapTSV Hartberg +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreGrazer AK to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grazer AK / FT Grazer AK ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Grazer AK – last 6

LDLDWD
27 Octvs SCR Altach0–4L
24 Oct@ WSG Wattens1–1D
18 Oct@ Sturm Graz1–6L
10 Octvs Red Bull Salzburg0–0D
30 Sep@ Kalsdorf5–1W
19 Sepvs Austria Vienna2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

TSV Hartberg – last 6

DWLWDD
27 Oct@ Austria Vienna1–1D
25 Octvs Wolfsberger AC1–0W
16 Oct@ Rapid Vienna1–3L
11 Octvs Austria Lustenau4–3W
20 Sepvs Lask Linz3–3D
13 Sep@ WSG Wattens2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026TSV Hartberg v Grazer AK1–0
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

On our numbers Grazer AK have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and TSV Hartberg 38%.

How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 TSV Hartberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.