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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Lavanttal-Arena
1–1
FT
Wolfsberger AC 18%Draw 23%Sturm Graz 59% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.87
82%
Betarazi pick

Sturm Graz or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSturm Graz to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Bundesliga brings Wolfsberger AC against Sturm Graz at Lavanttal-Arena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Wolfsberger AC are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Wolfsberger AC, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to WSPG Wels, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Sturm Graz, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Austria Lustenau, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Wolfsberger AC.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Sturm Graz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wolfsberger AC 0.9 xG, Sturm Graz 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wolfsberger AC 18%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sturm Graz or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sturm Graz or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wolfsberger AC18%fair 5.61 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.00
Sturm Graz59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
2.80Expected goals
0.93Wolfsberger AC xG
1.87Sturm Graz xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Wolfsberger AC 0.9 – 1.9 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSturm Graz to win ✗59%1.691.65
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.53
Draw no betSturm Graz (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapWolfsberger AC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreSturm Graz to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultSturm Graz ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Wolfsberger AC – last 6

LLLLWL
27 Oct@ WSPG Wels0–1L
25 Oct@ TSV Hartberg0–1L
18 Octvs WSG Wattens0–2L
11 Oct@ SCR Altach0–3L
2 Octvs Voitsberg2–1W
20 Sep@ Ried1–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz – last 6

LDWWLW
29 Oct@ Austria Lustenau2–3L
25 Octvs Ried2–2D
22 Octvs Marseille1–0W
18 Octvs Grazer AK6–1W
15 Oct@ Bournemouth0–3L
10 Oct@ Austria Vienna2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz2–2
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

On our numbers Wolfsberger AC have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz 59%.

How many goals will there be in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Our predicted score is Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Lavanttal-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.