Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga, played at Merkur-Arena. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Celje, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Anderlecht, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Sturm Graz.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sturm Graz 0 wins, Red Bull Salzburg 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.5 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 35%, draw 20%, Red Bull Salzburg 46%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz35%fair 2.89 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
Red Bull Salzburg46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
3.20Expected goals
1.47Sturm Graz xG
1.73Red Bull Salzburg xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.5 – 1.7 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Red Bull Salzburg 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
