Linfield vs Ballymena United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Linfield welcome Ballymena United to Windsor Park for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Ballymena United are 9th (lower half) with 16. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Linfield, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Dollingstown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ballymena United, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Glenavon FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 6. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ballymena United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Linfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.7 xG, Ballymena United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 56%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 19%.
Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–0 Ballymena United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Linfield56%fair 1.80 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.60
Ballymena United19%fair 5.33 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.65Linfield xG
0.86Ballymena United xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.7 – 0.9 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Linfield
Ballymena United
Attack vs Premiership average
+13%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.53
0.81
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Double chance
Linfield or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
Linfield (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ballymena United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Linfield to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Linfield – last 6
WWLDLL
28 Jul
@ Dollingstown
7–1
W
24 Jul
@ Limavady United
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Doncaster
0–2
L
16 Jul
vs Kalju Nomme
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Aberdeen
0–2
L
9 Jul
@ Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ballymena United – last 6
DDWWDW
1 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Annagh United
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Portstewart
5–1
W
24 Jul
@ Carrick Rangers
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Queen's University
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Dundela
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Ballymena United.
What is the prediction for Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Linfield vs Ballymena United?
On our numbers Linfield have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ballymena United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Ballymena United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Linfield vs Ballymena United (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
