Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarne to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Larne vs Bangor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bangor travel to face Larne on Tuesday 8 September in the Premiership, with Inver Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Bangor are 11th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Larne, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Glentoran, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bangor, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ballymena United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Larne, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Bangor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 2.2 xG, Bangor 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 71%, draw 21%, Bangor 8%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 2–0 Bangor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @5.50
Bangor8%fair 12.71 · @14.00
2.89Expected goals
2.23Larne xG
0.66Bangor xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Larne 2.2 – 0.7 Bangor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Larne -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Larne to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Larne – last 6
WLWDDD
4 Sep
vs Glentoran
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Coleraine FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Saburtalo
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Saburtalo
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bangor – last 6
DLLLDW
5 Sep
vs Ballymena United
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Carrick Rangers
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Dungannon Swifts
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cliftonville FC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Dergview
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Ballinamallard United
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Bangor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Larne vs Bangor?
On our numbers Larne have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bangor 8%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Bangor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Bangor?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Bangor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Bangor?
Larne vs Bangor (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
