Ballymena United 16%Draw 24%Glentoran 60%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.88
84%
Betarazi pick
Glentoran or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Glentoran to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGlentoran to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceGlentoran or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Ballymena United vs Glentoran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ballymena United welcome Glentoran to Ballymena Showgrounds for a Premiership fixture on Friday 21 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Ballymena United are 9th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Glentoran are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Ballymena United, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Crusaders FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Glentoran, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Linfield, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ballymena United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Glentoran.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballymena United 0.9 xG, Glentoran 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballymena United 16%, draw 24%, Glentoran 60%.
Lower-risk option: Glentoran or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Glentoran to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Glentoran or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballymena United 0–1 Glentoran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballymena United16%fair 6.34 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Glentoran60%fair 1.65 · @1.91
2.75Expected goals
0.86Ballymena United xG
1.88Glentoran xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 0.9 – 1.9 Glentoran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glentoran to win✓
60%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Glentoran or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Draw no bet
Glentoran (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Glentoran -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Glentoran to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Glentoran ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glentoran / FT Glentoran✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Ballymena United – last 6
LWDDWW
15 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Linfield
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Annagh United
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Portstewart
5–1
W
24 Jul
@ Carrick Rangers
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Glentoran – last 6
LWLLDL
15 Aug
@ Linfield
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Limavady United
2–0
W
16 Jul
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rīgas FS
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Dundela
3–3
D
1 Jul
vs Kilmarnock
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Glentoran.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Our pick is Glentoran or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Glentoran 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 0–1 Glentoran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Ballymena United vs Glentoran (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
