Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLinfield to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Linfield v Carrick Rangers in the Premiership, played at Windsor Park. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Carrick Rangers are 6th (upper half) with 19. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Linfield, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Limavady United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Carrick Rangers, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bangor, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Linfield, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Carrick Rangers.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Carrick Rangers 2–0 Linfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.8 xG, Carrick Rangers 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 65%, draw 22%, Carrick Rangers 12%.
Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Linfield to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Linfield65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
Carrick Rangers12%fair 8.03 · @4.80
2.38Expected goals
1.76Linfield xG
0.62Carrick Rangers xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.8 – 0.6 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Our pick is Linfield to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
On our numbers Linfield have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carrick Rangers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
