Crusaders FC 20%Draw 20%Dungannon Swifts 60%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.87
80%
Betarazi pick
Dungannon Swifts or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Dungannon Swifts to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDungannon Swifts to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceDungannon Swifts or draw ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 15 September the Premiership brings Crusaders FC against Dungannon Swifts at Seaview. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Crusaders FC are 8th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Dungannon Swifts are 7th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Crusaders FC, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Limavady United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Dungannon Swifts, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Linfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dungannon Swifts, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Crusaders FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crusaders FC 1.0 xG, Dungannon Swifts 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crusaders FC 20%, draw 20%, Dungannon Swifts 60%.
Lower-risk option: Dungannon Swifts or draw (80%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Dungannon Swifts to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dungannon Swifts or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crusaders FC 0–1 Dungannon Swifts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crusaders FC20%fair 5.00 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Dungannon Swifts60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.83Expected goals
0.96Crusaders FC xG
1.87Dungannon Swifts xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Crusaders FC 1.0 – 1.9 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dungannon Swifts to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Dungannon Swifts or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Dungannon Swifts (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Crusaders FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Dungannon Swifts to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Dungannon Swifts ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dungannon Swifts / FT Dungannon Swifts✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Crusaders FC – last 6
LLWWWL
12 Sep
vs Limavady United
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Coleraine FC
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Glentoran
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portadown
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ballymena United
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cliftonville FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dungannon Swifts – last 6
LWWWWL
12 Sep
vs Linfield
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Limavady United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Cliftonville FC
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bangor
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Portadown
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts.
What is the prediction for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Dungannon Swifts or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Crusaders FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dungannon Swifts 60%.
How many goals will there be in Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Crusaders FC 0–1 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Seaview.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
