Ballymena United 61%Draw 23%Portadown 16%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBallymena United to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ballymena United vs Portadown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Ballymena United v Portadown in the Premiership, played at Ballymena Showgrounds. In the table, Ballymena United are 9th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Portadown are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Ballymena United, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dungannon Swifts, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Portadown, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bangor, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballymena United 2.0 xG, Portadown 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballymena United 61%, draw 23%, Portadown 16%.
Lower-risk option: Ballymena United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballymena United 2–0 Portadown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballymena United61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
Portadown16%fair 6.37 · @4.20
2.90Expected goals
1.98Ballymena United xG
0.92Portadown xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 2.0 – 0.9 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballymena United to win✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Double chance
Ballymena United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Ballymena United (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Ballymena United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Ballymena United to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ballymena United ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballymena United / FT Ballymena United✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Ballymena United – last 6
DDLDLL
19 Sep
@ Dungannon Swifts
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Carrick Rangers
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Coleraine FC
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bangor
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Glentoran
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portadown – last 6
LDLLLL
19 Sep
@ Bangor
1–3
L
15 Sep
vs Linfield
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Larne
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Cliftonville FC
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Portadown.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Portadown?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portadown 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Portadown?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Ballymena United vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
