Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Larne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarne to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceLarne or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Larne vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Linfield travel to face Larne on Tuesday 20 October in the Premiership, with Inver Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36.
Current form
Larne, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Coleraine FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Linfield, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Carrick Rangers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Larne 1–1 Linfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 1.6 xG, Linfield 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 56%, draw 26%, Linfield 19%.
Lower-risk option: Larne or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Larne to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larne or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 1–0 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Linfield19%fair 5.38 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.63Larne xG
0.84Linfield xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Larne 1.6 – 0.8 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Larne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Larne vs Linfield?
On our numbers Larne have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Linfield 19%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Linfield?
Our predicted score is Larne 1–0 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Linfield?
Larne vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
