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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portadown v Linfield: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Shamrock Park
1–2
FT
Portadown 13%Draw 22%Linfield 65% Expected goals 0.65 – 1.77
65%
Betarazi pick

Linfield to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.06

Portadown vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Linfield travel to face Portadown on Friday 23 October in the Premiership, with Shamrock Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Portadown are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 15 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Portadown, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cliftonville FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Linfield, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Larne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Linfield, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Portadown.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Portadown 1–1 Linfield. The last 2 head-to-heads: Portadown 0 wins, Linfield 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portadown 0.6 xG, Linfield 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portadown 13%, draw 22%, Linfield 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Linfield to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portadown 0–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portadown13%fair 7.44 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.33
Linfield65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
2.42Expected goals
0.65Portadown xG
1.77Linfield xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%

From our goals model: Portadown 0.6 – 1.8 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✓65%1.541.40
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.80
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapLinfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultLinfield ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.06–

Recent results

Portadown – last 6

LWDWLL
20 Octvs Cliftonville FC0–2L
17 Oct@ Cliftonville FC2–1W
9 Octvs Glentoran0–0D
3 Octvs Limavady United3–1W
26 Sep@ Ballymena United0–2L
19 Sep@ Bangor1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Linfield – last 6

WDWWWD
20 Oct@ Larne2–1W
17 Oct@ Carrick Rangers2–2D
10 Octvs Bangor2–0W
25 Sep@ Coleraine FC3–1W
19 Sepvs Crusaders FC1–0W
15 Sep@ Portadown1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Sep 2026Portadown v Linfield1–1
10 Mar 2026Linfield v Portadown3–1
Portadown vs Linfield head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portadown vs Linfield?

Our pick is Linfield to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Portadown vs Linfield?

On our numbers Portadown have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Linfield 65%.

How many goals will there be in Portadown vs Linfield?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portadown vs Linfield?

Our predicted score is Portadown 0–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Portadown vs Linfield?

Portadown vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Shamrock Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.