Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarne to win ✓70% · @1.22
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Larne vs Portadown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Premiership brings Larne against Portadown at Inver Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Portadown are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Larne, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Limavady United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Portadown, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Linfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Larne, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Portadown.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Portadown 0–2 Larne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 2.0 xG, Portadown 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 70%, draw 18%, Portadown 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larne to win (70%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 2–0 Portadown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne70%fair 1.44 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @6.00
Portadown13%fair 7.94 · @9.50
2.71Expected goals
2.02Larne xG
0.69Portadown xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Larne 2.0 – 0.7 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Larne to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Larne vs Portadown?
On our numbers Larne have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Portadown 13%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Portadown?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Portadown?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Portadown?
Larne vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
