Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slovan Velvary travel to face Chomutov on Friday 6 November in the 4. Liga Divizie B, with Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Chomutov are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Slovan Velvary are 13th (lower half) with 14. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chomutov, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Újezd Praha 4, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Slovan Velvary, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Baník Sokolov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chomutov, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Slovan Velvary.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chomutov 2.5 xG, Slovan Velvary 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chomutov 72%, draw 17%, Slovan Velvary 11%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chomutov to win (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chomutov 2–0 Slovan Velvary. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chomutov72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @6.00
Slovan Velvary11%fair 8.85 · @7.00
3.45Expected goals
2.53Chomutov xG
0.92Slovan Velvary xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Chomutov 2.5 – 0.9 Slovan Velvary expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chomutov to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Chomutov or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Chomutov (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Chomutov -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Chomutov to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Chomutov ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chomutov / FT Chomutov✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Chomutov – last 6
WWWDLW
31 Oct
@ Újezd Praha 4
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Brandýs nad Labem
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Sokol Hostouň
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Tempo Praha
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Ostrov
1–2
L
25 Sep
vs Karlovy Vary
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Slovan Velvary – last 6
LLLDLL
31 Oct
vs Baník Sokolov
2–4
L
24 Oct
@ Rapid Psáry
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Slavoj Vyšehrad
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Ústí nad Labem II
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Újezd Praha 4
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Brandýs nad Labem
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chomutov and Slovan Velvary.
What is the prediction for Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
Our pick is Chomutov to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
On our numbers Chomutov have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Slovan Velvary 11%.
How many goals will there be in Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
Our predicted score is Chomutov 2–0 Slovan Velvary, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary (4. Liga Divizie B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.