Varnsdorf v Slovan Liberec II Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVarnsdorf to win ✗68% · @1.36

Double chanceVarnsdorf or draw ✓88% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53

Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the 3. Liga CFL B brings Varnsdorf against Slovan Liberec II at Mestsky stadion v Kotline. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Varnsdorf are 11th, lower half, on 37 points after 32 matches; Slovan Liberec II are 10th (lower half) with 37. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Varnsdorf, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jablonec II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Slovan Liberec II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Benátky nad Jizerou, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Varnsdorf, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Slovan Liberec II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Varnsdorf 2.5 xG, Slovan Liberec II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Varnsdorf 68%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec II 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Varnsdorf to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varnsdorf 2–0 Slovan Liberec II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Varnsdorf68%fair 1.46 · @1.36

Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.80

Slovan Liberec II12%fair 8.18 · @5.50

3.46Expected goals

2.47Varnsdorf xG

0.99Slovan Liberec II xG

61%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

3–08%

3–18%

1–08%

1–18%

From our goals model: Varnsdorf 2.5 – 1.0 Slovan Liberec II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Varnsdorf to win ✗	68%	1.46	1.36
Double chance	Varnsdorf or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.63	1.44
Draw no bet	Varnsdorf (draw no bet)	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	Varnsdorf -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
First team to score	Varnsdorf to score first	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Varnsdorf ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf ✗	47%	2.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.53	–

Varnsdorf – last 6

LLDWWD

20 Sep	vs Jablonec II	0–2	L
16 Sep	vs Slavia Praha	1–5	L
12 Sep	@ Sokol Zápy	4–4	D
6 Sep	vs Velké Hamry	3–1	W
29 Aug	@ Neratovice-Byškovice	2–1	W
25 Aug	vs Ústí nad Labem	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Slovan Liberec II – last 6

LLLDLL

26 Sep	vs Benátky nad Jizerou	0–4	L
20 Sep	@ Mladá Boleslav II	1–2	L
16 Sep	@ Sokol Zápy	1–2	L
11 Sep	vs Pardubice II	2–2	D
6 Sep	@ Jablonec II	0–2	L
29 Aug	vs Teplice II	0–4	L

0.7Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Česká Lípa	32	29	1	2	+62	88
2	Sokol Zápy	32	23	5	4	+45	74
3	Baník Souš	32	20	4	8	+26	64
4	Hradec Králové II	32	19	4	9	+23	61
5	Teplice II	32	14	8	10	+4	50
6	Benátky nad Jizerou	32	12	8	12	+5	44
7	Pardubice II	32	12	7	13	+12	43
8	Jablonec II	32	11	6	15	-13	39
9	Mladá Boleslav II	32	10	8	14	-11	38
10	Slovan Liberec II	32	10	7	15	+8	37
11	Varnsdorf	32	10	7	15	-19	37
12	Neratovice-Byškovice	32	9	9	14	-22	36
13	Sokol Brozany	32	8	10	14	-20	34
14	Velké Hamry	32	7	10	15	-12	31
15	Ústí nad Orlicí	32	7	10	15	-20	31
16	Slovan Velvary	32	7	4	21	-36	25
17	Kolín	32	4	12	16	-32	24

Team

Pts

+62

+45

+26

+23

+12

-13

-11

-19

-22

-20

-12

-20

-36

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?

Our pick is Varnsdorf to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?

On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Slovan Liberec II 12%.

How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?

Our predicted score is Varnsdorf 2–0 Slovan Liberec II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?

Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Varnsdorf v Slovan Liberec II: numbers & prediction