Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Legia Warszawa, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Radomiak Radom, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wigry Suwałki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 2.1 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 63%, draw 21%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Legia Warszawa to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Legia Warszawa63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki16%fair 6.43 · @5.80
3.14Expected goals
2.11Legia Warszawa xG
1.02Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-0%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+26%
Our expected goals here
2.18
1.13
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WWWDWW
14 Jul
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs AS Trencin
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
3–1
W
2 Jul
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Bayern München II
2–0
W
23 May
vs Motor Lublin
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
LDDWLD
17 Jul
vs Wigry Suwałki
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Pogoń Siedlce
2–2
D
7 Jul
vs AS Trencin
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Unia Skierniewice
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Wisla Plock
1–2
L
24 May
@ Slask Wroclaw
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Legia Warszawa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 16%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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