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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maghreb Fès v Yacoub El Mansour: numbers & prediction

Botola Pro · Morocco
2–1
FT
Maghreb Fès 54%Draw 28%Yacoub El Mansour 18% Expected goals 1.41 – 0.79
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMaghreb Fès to win ✓54% · @1.65
Double chanceMaghreb Fès or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.47

Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yacoub El Mansour travel to face Maghreb Fès on Sunday 28 June in the Botola Pro – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Maghreb Fès, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wydad AC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Yacoub El Mansour, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Raja Casablanca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Maghreb Fès. The last 2 head-to-heads: Maghreb Fès 1 win, Yacoub El Mansour 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maghreb Fès 1.4 xG, Yacoub El Mansour 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maghreb Fès 54%, draw 28%, Yacoub El Mansour 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maghreb Fès 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maghreb Fès54%fair 1.86 · @1.65
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.30
Yacoub El Mansour18%fair 5.54 · @5.20
2.21Expected goals
1.41Maghreb Fès xG
0.79Yacoub El Mansour xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Maghreb Fès 1.4 – 0.8 Yacoub El Mansour expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaghreb Fès to win ✓54%1.861.65
Double chanceMaghreb Fès or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.05 ▲
Draw no betMaghreb Fès (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapYacoub El Mansour +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMaghreb Fès to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maghreb Fès / FT Maghreb Fès ✓31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.47–

Recent results

Maghreb Fès – last 6

WLWDDW
25 Jun@ Wydad AC1–0W
21 Junvs Renaissance Berkane1–2L
17 Junvs Difaa EL Jadida2–1W
12 Jun@ FUS Rabat1–1D
9 Junvs FAR Rabat0–0D
1 Jun@ Olympique Safi2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yacoub El Mansour – last 6

WWWLDL
25 Junvs Raja Casablanca2–1W
21 Jun@ Olympique Safi1–0W
18 Junvs Hassania Agadir2–1W
14 Jun@ Ittihad Tanger1–2L
9 Junvs CODM Meknès1–1D
3 Jun@ CR Khemis Zemamra1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Yacoub El Mansour v Maghreb Fès1–0
20 Feb 2026Yacoub El Mansour v Maghreb Fès1–2
Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour head-to-head page →

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech7511+416
2CODM Meknès7421+614
3Raja Casablanca7331+212
4FAR Rabat6321+411
5Wydad AC7322+111
6Maghreb Fès7322+111
7Ittihad Tanger7313-110
8Hassania Agadir7232+29
9Renaissance Berkane6150+28
10FUS Rabat7223-18
11Difaa EL Jadida7223-28
12UTS Rabat7223-28
13Amal Tiznit7214-47
14Widad Témara7313+36
15Moghreb Tetouan7034-83
16CR Khemis Zemamra7025-72

More Botola Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour?

On our numbers Maghreb Fès have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Yacoub El Mansour 18%.

How many goals will there be in Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Our predicted score is Maghreb Fès 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Maghreb Fès vs Yacoub El Mansour (Botola Pro) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.