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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ural v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Yekaterinburg Arena

Ural

DLLWL
0–1
FT
Ural 45%Draw 28%Torpedo Moskva 27% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.92
73%
Betarazi pick

Ural or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.27Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.92 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUral to win ✗45% · @2.09
Double chanceUral or draw ✗73% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ural welcome Torpedo Moskva to Yekaterinburg Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 13 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ural, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelyabinsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Sochi, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ural.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Ural 2–0 Torpedo Moskva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ural 1.3 xG, Torpedo Moskva 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 45%, draw 28%, Torpedo Moskva 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (73%) at 1.27.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ural or draw (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 1–0 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ural45%fair 2.20 · @2.09
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.18
Torpedo Moskva27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
2.23Expected goals
1.30Ural xG
0.92Torpedo Moskva xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ural 1.3 – 0.9 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UralTorpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average+24%+19%
Goals conceded vs average-37%-32%
Our expected goals here1.250.87

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✗45%2.202.09
Double chanceUral or draw ✗73%1.371.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.92 ▲
Draw no betUral (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreUral to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Ural – last 6

DLLWLW
4 Julvs Chelyabinsk1–1D
23 May@ Dinamo Makhachkala0–2L
20 Mayvs Dinamo Makhachkala0–1L
11 Mayvs KAMAZ2–0W
4 Mayvs Shinnik Yaroslavl0–1L
26 Apr@ Chelyabinsk2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WWWDDL
3 Jul@ FC Sochi3–0W
27 Jun@ Dynamo2–0W
22 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
11 May@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
27 Aprvs Fakel2–2D
22 Apr@ Ural0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Ural v Torpedo Moskva2–0
Ural vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Ural or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Ural have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Torpedo Moskva 27%.

How many goals will there be in Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Ural 1–0 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.