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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

The Strongest v Independiente Petrolero: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio Hernando Siles
The Strongest 70%Draw 18%Independiente Petrolero 12% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.04
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe Strongest to win ✗70% · @1.13
Double chanceThe Strongest or draw ✗88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 8 August the Primera División brings The Strongest against Independiente Petrolero at Estadio Hernando Siles. Kick-off: 22:15 WAT. In the table, The Strongest are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 25 matches; Independiente Petrolero are 11th (lower half) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

The Strongest, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nacional Potosí, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Independiente Petrolero, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aurora, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours The Strongest, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Independiente Petrolero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The Strongest 2.3 xG, Independiente Petrolero 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The Strongest 70%, draw 18%, Independiente Petrolero 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: The Strongest 2–1 Independiente Petrolero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The Strongest70%fair 1.43 · @1.13
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @6.80
Independiente Petrolero12%fair 8.02 · @14.00
3.31Expected goals
2.27The Strongest xG
1.04Independiente Petrolero xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: The Strongest 2.3 – 1.0 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe Strongest to win ✗70%1.431.13
Double chanceThe Strongest or draw ✗88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.73 ▲
Draw no betThe Strongest (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapThe Strongest -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.441.48
First team to scoreThe Strongest to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultThe Strongest ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT The Strongest / FT The Strongest ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

The Strongest – last 6

WDDDWD
5 Aug@ Nacional Potosí3–2W
31 Julvs Aurora1–1D
26 Jul@ Blooming1–1D
19 Jul@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ0–0D
16 Julvs Oriente Petrolero2–1W
12 Julvs Bolívar1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Independiente Petrolero – last 6

DWLLLL
4 Augvs Aurora1–1D
1 Aug@ Real Oruro3–0W
26 Julvs Oriente Petrolero1–2L
22 Julvs Real Potosí1–2L
16 Jul@ ABB1–3L
13 Jul@ Real Tomayapo1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between The Strongest and Independiente Petrolero.

The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

On our numbers The Strongest have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Independiente Petrolero 12%.

How many goals will there be in The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

Our predicted score is The Strongest 2–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.