Bristol City 59%Draw 23%Lincoln 18%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.87
82%
Betarazi pick
Bristol City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBristol City to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceBristol City or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Bristol City vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lincoln travel to face Bristol City on Tuesday 15 September in the Championship, with Ashton Gate Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bristol City are 17th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bristol City, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Southampton, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lincoln, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Preston, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol City 1.8 xG, Lincoln 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol City 59%, draw 23%, Lincoln 18%.
Lower-risk option: Bristol City or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Bristol City to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bristol City or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol City 1–0 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol City59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Lincoln18%fair 5.69 · @3.60
2.67Expected goals
1.80Bristol City xG
0.87Lincoln xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.8 – 0.9 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Bristol City or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Draw no bet
Bristol City (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Bristol City to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Bristol City ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Bristol City – last 6
LWWWDL
12 Sep
@ Southampton
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Burnley
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Preston
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Portsmouth
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Millwall
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
WLDDWW
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Lincoln.
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Bristol City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bristol City vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Bristol City vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
