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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wolves v West Brom: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Molineux Stadium

Wolves

LWDLW
1–0
FT
Wolves 60%Draw 24%West Brom 16% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.04
84%
Betarazi pick

Wolves or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Wolves to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWolves to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceWolves or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Wolves vs West Brom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Wolves v West Brom in the Championship, played at Molineux Stadium. In the table, Wolves are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 15 matches; West Brom are 5th (upper half) with 28. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wolves, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Everton, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

West Brom, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with QPR, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wolves 2.1 xG, West Brom 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wolves 60%, draw 24%, West Brom 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Wolves or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Wolves to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wolves or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolves 2–1 West Brom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wolves60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
West Brom16%fair 6.29 · @4.20
3.15Expected goals
2.11Wolves xG
1.04West Brom xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Wolves 2.1 – 1.0 West Brom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWolves to win ✓60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceWolves or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.75
Draw no betWolves (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapWolves -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreWolves to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultWolves ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wolves / FT Wolves ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Wolves – last 6

LWDLWW
16 Sep@ Everton0–1L
13 Sep@ Sheffield Utd1–0W
6 Sep@ Birmingham2–2D
1 Sep@ West Ham2–4L
29 Augvs Stoke City4–1W
25 Aug@ Sheffield Wednesday2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

West Brom – last 6

DWWDLL
12 Sepvs QPR1–1D
9 Sep@ Derby1–0W
5 Sepvs Watford1–0W
2 Sepvs Charlton1–1D
29 Aug@ Middlesbrough1–3L
26 Aug@ Newcastle2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wolves and West Brom.

Wolves vs West Brom head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs West Brom?

Our pick is Wolves or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Wolves vs West Brom?

On our numbers Wolves have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and West Brom 16%.

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs West Brom?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs West Brom?

Our predicted score is Wolves 2–1 West Brom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Wolves vs West Brom?

Wolves vs West Brom (Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.