Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultWolves to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.61
Burnley vs Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Championship brings Burnley against Wolves at Turf Moor. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Burnley are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Wolves are 4th (among the top four) with 28. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Burnley, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Charlton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Wolves, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bolton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Burnley 1–1 Wolves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley 1.6 xG, Wolves 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley 36%, draw 22%, Wolves 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley 1–1 Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Wolves43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
3.37Expected goals
1.60Burnley xG
1.77Wolves xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Burnley 1.6 – 1.8 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
On our numbers Burnley have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wolves 43%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Wolves?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Wolves?
Our predicted score is Burnley 1–1 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Wolves?
Burnley vs Wolves (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
