Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Bolton vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bolton welcome Middlesbrough to Toughsheet Community Stadium for a Championship fixture on Friday 23 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Bolton are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bolton, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Southampton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cardiff, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 1.0 xG, Middlesbrough 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 15%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough 63%.
Lower-risk option: Middlesbrough or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Middlesbrough to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 1–2 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolton15%fair 6.80 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
Middlesbrough63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
3.23Expected goals
1.02Bolton xG
2.21Middlesbrough xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.0 – 2.2 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Middlesbrough -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Middlesbrough to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Bolton – last 6
DWLWWL
17 Oct
@ Southampton
0–0
D
13 Oct
@ Wolves
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Stoke City
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Norwich
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Cardiff
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 6
DWWDDW
17 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Stoke City
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Wolves
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Millwall
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Norwich
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Middlesbrough.
What is the prediction for Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Bolton have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Middlesbrough 63%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–2 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
Bolton vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
