Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Wrexham v Middlesbrough in the Championship, played at Racecourse Ground. In the table, Wrexham are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Wrexham, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sheffield Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Charlton, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Wrexham.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham. The last 2 head-to-heads: Wrexham 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wrexham 1.0 xG, Middlesbrough 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wrexham 14%, draw 24%, Middlesbrough 62%.
Lower-risk option: Middlesbrough or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wrexham14%fair 7.00 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.00
Middlesbrough62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
0.96Wrexham xG
2.12Middlesbrough xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.0 – 2.1 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Middlesbrough 62%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.