Baltika 64%Draw 22%Dinamo Makhachkala 15%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.58
85%
Betarazi pick
Baltika or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓85% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Baltika v Dinamo Makhachkala in the Cup, played at Rostec Arena.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spartak Moscow, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Krylia Sovetov, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Dinamo Makhachkala, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Baltika.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Dinamo Makhachkala 2–2 Baltika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.6 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 64%, draw 22%, Dinamo Makhachkala 15%.
Lower-risk option: Baltika or draw (85%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Baltika to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baltika or draw (85%, odds 1.23 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika64%fair 1.57 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.45
Dinamo Makhachkala15%fair 6.86 · @4.50
2.17Expected goals
1.59Baltika xG
0.58Dinamo Makhachkala xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.6 – 0.6 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Baltika or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Baltika have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dinamo Makhachkala 15%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
