Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 1.82 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDynamo to win ✓60% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Dynamo vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 3 September the Cup brings Dynamo against Akhmat at VTB Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Dynamo, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Akhmat, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Krylia Sovetov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dynamo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo 1.6 xG, Akhmat 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo 60%, draw 20%, Akhmat 20%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Dynamo to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo 1–0 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dynamo60%fair 1.68 · @1.82
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.88
Akhmat20%fair 4.89 · @4.33
2.41Expected goals
1.62Dynamo xG
0.79Akhmat xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Dynamo 1.6 – 0.8 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
60%
1.68
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.68
Draw no bet
Dynamo (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.07 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Dynamo to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Dynamo – last 6
WWLLWW
29 Aug
@ Lokomotiv
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva
3–1
W
19 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Zenit
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Fakel
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
DWWLDD
29 Aug
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs FC Rostov
4–1
W
18 Aug
vs Fakel
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Fakel
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo and Akhmat.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Dynamo vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Akhmat 20%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 1–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs Akhmat?
Dynamo vs Akhmat (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
