Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNorthampton to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.40
Northampton vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton welcome Oldham to Sixfields Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Northampton are 21st, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Oldham are 18th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Northampton, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Accrington ST, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Oldham, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Crawley Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.1 xG, Oldham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 42%, draw 25%, Oldham 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Northampton to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Oldham34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
2.07Expected goals
1.11Northampton xG
0.96Oldham xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 1.0 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
42%
2.40
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Oldham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Northampton to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.40
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 6
DWLWDL
31 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Colchester
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Tranmere
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 6
LDLWWD
31 Oct
vs Crawley Town
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Barnet
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Walsall
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Cheltenham
4–1
W
13 Oct
vs Leeds United U21
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Oldham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?
On our numbers Northampton have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oldham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Oldham?
Northampton vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
