Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the League One brings Burton Albion against AFC Wimbledon at Pirelli Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Burton Albion are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; AFC Wimbledon are 18th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Notts County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
AFC Wimbledon, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wigan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.4 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 51%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 26%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion51%fair 1.96 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
AFC Wimbledon26%fair 3.78 · @3.80
2.28Expected goals
1.39Burton Albion xG
0.89AFC Wimbledon xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.4 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✓
51%
1.96
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Burton Albion (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
AFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.09
First team to score
Burton Albion to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Burton Albion – last 6
LWDLWD
29 Aug
@ Notts County
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Leicester
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Stevenage
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Blackburn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Derby
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
WLDDLD
30 Aug
vs Wigan
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Fulham
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Reading
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Huddersfield
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Newport County
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Wimbledon 26%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
