Leicester vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Leicester v Oxford United in the League One, played at King Power Stadium. In the table, Leicester are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Oxford United are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Leicester, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Plymouth, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Oxford United, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Huddersfield, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leicester 1.8 xG, Oxford United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leicester 59%, draw 20%, Oxford United 21%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leicester 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leicester59%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.75
Oxford United21%fair 4.87 · @4.70
2.68Expected goals
1.77Leicester xG
0.90Oxford United xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.8 – 0.9 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Leicester (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Oxford United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Leicester to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Leicester – last 6
WDLLDW
1 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Burton Albion
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Notts County
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
LWDLWW
1 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–0
W
28 Jul
vs Crawley Town
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Leicester vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leicester vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Leicester have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Oxford United 21%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Oxford United?
Leicester vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
