AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWycombe to win ✗60% · @1.85

Double chanceWycombe or draw ✓86% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe in the League One, played at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Wycombe are 13th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Wycombe, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cambridge United, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Wycombe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for AFC Wimbledon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 0.9 xG, Wycombe 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 14%, draw 26%, Wycombe 60%.
Lower-risk option: Wycombe or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Wycombe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wycombe or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Wycombe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Wimbledon14%fair 7.06 · @3.80

Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50

Wycombe60%fair 1.66 · @1.85

2.95Expected goals

0.93AFC Wimbledon xG

2.02Wycombe xG

60%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%

0–111%

1–210%

1–110%

0–37%

1–37%

From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 0.9 – 2.0 Wycombe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wycombe to win ✗	60%	1.66	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Wycombe or draw ✓	86%	1.17	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.65
Draw no bet	Wycombe (draw no bet)	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Wycombe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
First team to score	Wycombe to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Wycombe ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Wycombe / FT Wycombe ✗	40%	2.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.07	–

AFC Wimbledon – last 6

LLLDDD

20 Oct	vs Mansfield Town	0–3	L
17 Oct	@ Sheffield Wednesday	0–5	L
10 Oct	@ Plymouth	1–2	L
6 Oct	vs Barnet	0–0	D
26 Sep	@ Cambridge United	1–1	D
17 Sep	vs Milton Keynes Dons	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Wycombe – last 6

DWLWDW

20 Oct	@ Cambridge United	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs Notts County	2–0	W
10 Oct	vs Luton	1–4	L
6 Oct	vs Bristol Rovers	4–1	W
26 Sep	vs Reading	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Wigan	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?

Our pick is Wycombe or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?

On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wycombe 60%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?

Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Wycombe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe: numbers & prediction