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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leicester v Stevenage: numbers & prediction

League One · England · King Power Stadium
2–2
FT
Leicester 64%Draw 23%Stevenage 14% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.79
86%
Betarazi pick

Leicester or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeicester to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceLeicester or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Leicester vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Leicester v Stevenage in the League One, played at King Power Stadium. In the table, Leicester are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Stevenage are 16th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leicester, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Wigan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Stevenage, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Milton Keynes Dons, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Stevenage, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Leicester.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Oct 2026) it ended Stevenage 2–1 Leicester.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leicester 1.9 xG, Stevenage 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leicester 64%, draw 23%, Stevenage 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leicester or draw (86%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leicester or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leicester 1–0 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leicester64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.00
Stevenage14%fair 7.31 · @4.50
2.74Expected goals
1.95Leicester xG
0.79Stevenage xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Leicester 1.9 – 0.8 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeicester to win ✗64%1.571.65 ▲
Double chanceLeicester or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.62
Draw no betLeicester (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapLeicester -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreLeicester to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultLeicester ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leicester / FT Leicester ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Leicester – last 6

WLWWLL
27 Octvs Wigan3–0W
24 Oct@ Luton1–2L
20 Oct@ Bromley4–0W
17 Octvs Doncaster2–1W
10 Octvs Peterborough1–3L
6 Oct@ Stevenage1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Stevenage – last 6

LWLWWW
24 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons0–1L
20 Octvs Plymouth3–0W
17 Oct@ Bradford0–2L
10 Octvs Wigan1–0W
6 Octvs Leicester2–1W
22 Sep@ Walsall6–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Oct 2026Stevenage v Leicester2–1
Leicester vs Stevenage head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leicester vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Leicester or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Leicester vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Leicester have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stevenage 14%.

How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Leicester 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Leicester vs Stevenage?

Leicester vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.