Wednesday 11 November 2026 16 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ascoli v Potenza: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli

LLWDL
3–1
FT

Potenza

LDWLL
Ascoli 57%Draw 23%Potenza 20% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.09
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAscoli to win ✓57% · @1.65
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 18.33

Ascoli vs Potenza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Ascoli v Potenza in the Coppa Italia, played at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Current form

Ascoli, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lazio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Potenza, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ascoli, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Potenza.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Ascoli 1–0 Potenza. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ascoli 1 win, Potenza 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.8 xG, Potenza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 57%, draw 23%, Potenza 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ascoli or draw (80%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Potenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ascoli57%fair 1.75 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
Potenza20%fair 5.06 · @5.00
2.90Expected goals
1.81Ascoli xG
1.09Potenza xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: Ascoli 1.8 – 1.1 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAscoli to win ✓57%1.751.65
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.83
Draw no betAscoli (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapPotenza +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
First team to scoreAscoli to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultAscoli ahead at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ascoli / FT Ascoli ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5%18.33–

Recent results

Ascoli – last 6

LLWDLW
2 Augvs Lazio1–2L
26 Jul@ Frosinone0–1L
7 Junvs Union Brescia3–0W
3 Jun@ Union Brescia1–1D
27 May@ Catania1–2L
24 Mayvs Catania4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Potenza – last 6

LDWLLL
20 May@ Ascoli0–1L
17 Mayvs Ascoli0–0D
13 Mayvs Campobasso FC3–1W
6 Apr@ Casarano1–2L
1 Apr@ Latina0–1L
22 Mar@ Trapani 19051–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Ascoli v Potenza1–0
17 May 2026Potenza v Ascoli0–0
Ascoli vs Potenza head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia predictions

FT Vicenza Virtus1 Catania1 Pens 3–4 148%1.76X24%3.45228%4.70 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?

On our numbers Ascoli have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Potenza 20%.

How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Potenza?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ascoli vs Potenza?

Ascoli vs Potenza (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.