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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ards v Loughgall: numbers & prediction

Championship · Northern-Ireland

Ards

WDWLL
1–2
FT
Ards 42%Draw 22%Loughgall 37% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.47
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultArds to win ✗42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Ards vs Loughgall: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Loughgall travel to face Ards on Saturday 22 August in the Championship – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ards are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Loughgall are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ards, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Warrenpoint Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Loughgall, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Institute, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Loughgall 0–1 Ards.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ards 1.6 xG, Loughgall 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ards 42%, draw 22%, Loughgall 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ards 1–1 Loughgall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ards42%fair 2.39 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
Loughgall37%fair 2.73 · @2.55
3.06Expected goals
1.59Ards xG
1.47Loughgall xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ards 1.6 – 1.5 Loughgall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArds to win ✗42%2.392.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.67
Draw no betArds (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapLoughgall +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
First team to scoreArds to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ards / FT Ards ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Ards – last 6

WDWLLW
15 Aug@ Warrenpoint Town3–1W
11 Augvs Dundela2–2D
8 Aug@ Glenavon FC3–1W
28 Jul@ Carrick Rangers0–1L
16 Jul@ Bangor0–2L
10 Aprvs Armagh City2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Loughgall – last 6

DDWLWD
15 Aug@ Institute0–0D
11 Augvs Newington Youth2–2D
8 Aug@ Rathfriland3–1W
21 Julvs Dungannon Swifts1–4L
4 Jul@ Ballymena United2–1W
24 Apr@ Newington Youth0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Loughgall v Ards0–1
Ards vs Loughgall head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Annagh United151041+2134
2Glenavon FC14932+2030
3Newington Youth14923+1329
4Queen's University15726+923
5Newry City AFC15654-123
6Institute14635+321
7Ballinamallard United15636021
8Loughgall15555-520
9H&W Welders14617019
10Warrenpoint Town13535+118
11Ards15456-417
12Rathfriland14518-1016
13Moyola Park14437-1115
14Dundela13256-811
15Strabane Athletic15258-1211
16Armagh City15168-169

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ards vs Loughgall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ards vs Loughgall?

On our numbers Ards have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Loughgall 37%.

How many goals will there be in Ards vs Loughgall?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ards vs Loughgall?

Our predicted score is Ards 1–1 Loughgall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ards vs Loughgall?

Ards vs Loughgall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.