Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Championship brings Newry City AFC against Warrenpoint Town at The Showgrounds. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Newry City AFC are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Warrenpoint Town are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Newry City AFC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rathfriland, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Warrenpoint Town, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ards, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Newry City AFC, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.5 for Warrenpoint Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newry City AFC 1.6 xG, Warrenpoint Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newry City AFC 45%, draw 22%, Warrenpoint Town 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newry City AFC 1–1 Warrenpoint Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newry City AFC45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Warrenpoint Town33%fair 3.01 · @2.88
2.89Expected goals
1.58Newry City AFC xG
1.31Warrenpoint Town xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.6 – 1.3 Warrenpoint Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Newry City AFC (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Warrenpoint Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Newry City AFC to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Newry City AFC – last 5
WLWWW
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Glenavon FC
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Bangor
1–0
W
1 May
@ Dollingstown
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Warrenpoint Town – last 6
LWLLLL
15 Aug
vs Ards
1–3
L
11 Aug
vs Armagh City
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ H&W Welders
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Cliftonville FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Crusaders FC
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Limavady United
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Warrenpoint Town.
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Warrenpoint Town 33%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 1–1 Warrenpoint Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town (Championship) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
