Value bet: Loughgall to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLoughgall to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceLoughgall or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Warrenpoint Town travel to face Loughgall on Friday 28 August in the Championship, with Lakeview Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Loughgall are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Warrenpoint Town are 10th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Loughgall, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ards, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Warrenpoint Town, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Newry City AFC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Loughgall, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Warrenpoint Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loughgall 2.0 xG, Warrenpoint Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loughgall 64%, draw 21%, Warrenpoint Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Loughgall or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Loughgall to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loughgall 2–0 Warrenpoint Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loughgall64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
Warrenpoint Town15%fair 6.74 · @4.10
2.86Expected goals
2.01Loughgall xG
0.85Warrenpoint Town xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Loughgall 2.0 – 0.9 Warrenpoint Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Loughgall or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Loughgall (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Loughgall -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Loughgall to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Loughgall ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Loughgall – last 6
WDDWLW
22 Aug
@ Ards
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Institute
0–0
D
11 Aug
vs Newington Youth
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Rathfriland
3–1
W
21 Jul
vs Dungannon Swifts
1–4
L
4 Jul
@ Ballymena United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Warrenpoint Town – last 6
WLWLLL
21 Aug
@ Newry City AFC
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Ards
1–3
L
11 Aug
vs Armagh City
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ H&W Welders
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Cliftonville FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Crusaders FC
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loughgall and Warrenpoint Town.
What is the prediction for Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
On our numbers Loughgall have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Warrenpoint Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our predicted score is Loughgall 2–0 Warrenpoint Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town (Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Lakeview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
