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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Newry City AFC v Armagh City: numbers & prediction

Championship · Northern-Ireland · The Showgrounds
2–2
FT
Newry City AFC 61%Draw 21%Armagh City 18% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.94
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewry City AFC to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceNewry City AFC or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Newry City AFC vs Armagh City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Armagh City travel to face Newry City AFC on Friday 4 September in the Championship, with The Showgrounds the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Newry City AFC are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Armagh City are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Newry City AFC, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Institute, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Armagh City, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Moyola Park, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Newry City AFC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Armagh City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newry City AFC 1.9 xG, Armagh City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newry City AFC 61%, draw 21%, Armagh City 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Newry City AFC or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newry City AFC 1–0 Armagh City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newry City AFC61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
Armagh City18%fair 5.58 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
1.93Newry City AFC xG
0.94Armagh City xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.9 – 0.9 Armagh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewry City AFC to win ✗61%1.651.67
Double chanceNewry City AFC or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.57
Draw no betNewry City AFC (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapNewry City AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreNewry City AFC to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultNewry City AFC ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Newry City AFC – last 6

WLWLWW
29 Aug@ Institute3–1W
21 Augvs Warrenpoint Town0–3L
15 Aug@ Rathfriland2–1W
11 Augvs Glenavon FC1–4L
8 Aug@ Ballinamallard United1–0W
28 Julvs Bangor1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Armagh City – last 6

LDLLDL
28 Aug@ Moyola Park0–1L
22 Augvs Glenavon FC2–2D
15 Aug@ H&W Welders0–1L
11 Aug@ Warrenpoint Town0–2L
8 Augvs Queen's University1–1D
10 Apr@ Ards1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Armagh City.

Newry City AFC vs Armagh City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Annagh United151041+2134
2Glenavon FC14932+2030
3Newington Youth14923+1329
4Queen's University15726+923
5Newry City AFC15654-123
6Institute14635+321
7Ballinamallard United15636021
8Loughgall15555-520
9H&W Welders14617019
10Warrenpoint Town13535+118
11Ards15456-417
12Rathfriland14518-1016
13Moyola Park14437-1115
14Dundela13256-811
15Strabane Athletic15258-1211
16Armagh City15168-169

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?

On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Armagh City 18%.

How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?

Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 1–0 Armagh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?

Newry City AFC vs Armagh City (Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.