Strabane Athletic 24%Draw 14%Newry City AFC 62%Expected goals 1.11 – 2.03
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Newry City AFC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewry City AFC to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Strabane Athletic v Newry City AFC in the Championship. In the table, Strabane Athletic are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; Newry City AFC are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Strabane Athletic, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Queen's University, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Newry City AFC, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Armagh City, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newry City AFC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Strabane Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strabane Athletic 1.1 xG, Newry City AFC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strabane Athletic 24%, draw 14%, Newry City AFC 62%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Newry City AFC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strabane Athletic 1–2 Newry City AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strabane Athletic24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Draw14%fair 6.99 · @3.50
Newry City AFC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
3.14Expected goals
1.11Strabane Athletic xG
2.03Newry City AFC xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Strabane Athletic 1.1 – 2.0 Newry City AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Newry City AFC (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Strabane Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
First team to score
Newry City AFC to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Newry City AFC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Strabane Athletic – last 6
LLLLWL
5 Sep
@ Queen's University
0–6
L
28 Aug
vs Newington Youth
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs H&W Welders
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
1–4
L
11 Aug
@ Moyola Park
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs Institute
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newry City AFC – last 6
DWLWLW
4 Sep
vs Armagh City
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Institute
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Glenavon FC
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strabane Athletic and Newry City AFC.
What is the prediction for Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC?
On our numbers Strabane Athletic have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Newry City AFC 62%.
How many goals will there be in Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC?
Our predicted score is Strabane Athletic 1–2 Newry City AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC?
Strabane Athletic vs Newry City AFC (Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
