Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 25 September the Championship brings Newry City AFC against H&W Welders at The Showgrounds. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Newry City AFC are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; H&W Welders are 9th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Newry City AFC, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Annagh United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
H&W Welders, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ballinamallard United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours H&W Welders, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Newry City AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newry City AFC 0.9 xG, H&W Welders 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newry City AFC 12%, draw 19%, H&W Welders 69%.
Lower-risk option: H&W Welders or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was H&W Welders to win (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newry City AFC 0–2 H&W Welders. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newry City AFC12%fair 8.04 · @5.75
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.00
H&W Welders69%fair 1.45 · @1.42
3.21Expected goals
0.89Newry City AFC xG
2.31H&W Welders xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–38%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 0.9 – 2.3 H&W Welders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
H&W Welders to win✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Double chance
H&W Welders or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Draw no bet
H&W Welders (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
H&W Welders -1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
H&W Welders to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
H&W Welders ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT H&W Welders / FT H&W Welders✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Newry City AFC – last 6
DDDWLW
18 Sep
vs Annagh United
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Armagh City
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Institute
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
H&W Welders – last 6
LLWWWW
19 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Annagh United
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Moyola Park
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs Dundela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Strabane Athletic
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Armagh City
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and H&W Welders.
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Our pick is H&W Welders to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and H&W Welders 69%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 0–2 H&W Welders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders (Championship) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
