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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Institute v H&W Welders: numbers & prediction

Championship · Northern-Ireland
0–0
FT
Institute 25%Draw 14%H&W Welders 61% Expected goals 1.27 – 2.17
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: H&W Welders to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultH&W Welders to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Institute vs H&W Welders: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Institute welcome H&W Welders for a Championship fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Institute are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; H&W Welders are 9th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Institute, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Newington Youth, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

H&W Welders, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rathfriland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Institute, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for H&W Welders.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended H&W Welders 1–4 Institute.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Institute 1.3 xG, H&W Welders 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Institute 25%, draw 14%, H&W Welders 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: H&W Welders to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Institute 1–2 H&W Welders. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Institute25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.37 · @3.70
H&W Welders61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
3.44Expected goals
1.27Institute xG
2.17H&W Welders xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Institute 1.3 – 2.2 H&W Welders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultH&W Welders to win ✗61%1.631.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.44
Draw no betH&W Welders (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapInstitute +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.181.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
First team to scoreH&W Welders to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultH&W Welders ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT H&W Welders / FT H&W Welders ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Institute – last 6

WLWWWL
3 Octvs Newington Youth7–0W
26 Sep@ Annagh United0–5L
19 Sepvs Warrenpoint Town2–0W
12 Sep@ Armagh City5–3W
5 Sep@ Rathfriland2–0W
29 Augvs Newry City AFC1–3L
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

H&W Welders – last 6

LLLLWW
3 Octvs Rathfriland1–3L
25 Sep@ Newry City AFC2–3L
19 Sepvs Ballinamallard United1–3L
12 Sep@ Annagh United1–3L
5 Sep@ Moyola Park4–1W
28 Augvs Dundela2–0W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026H&W Welders v Institute1–4
Institute vs H&W Welders head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Annagh United151041+2134
2Glenavon FC14932+2030
3Newington Youth14923+1329
4Queen's University15726+923
5Newry City AFC15654-123
6Institute14635+321
7Ballinamallard United15636021
8Loughgall15555-520
9H&W Welders14617019
10Warrenpoint Town13535+118
11Ards15456-417
12Rathfriland14518-1016
13Moyola Park14437-1115
14Dundela13256-811
15Strabane Athletic15258-1211
16Armagh City15168-169

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Institute vs H&W Welders?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Institute vs H&W Welders?

On our numbers Institute have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and H&W Welders 61%.

How many goals will there be in Institute vs H&W Welders?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Institute vs H&W Welders?

Our predicted score is Institute 1–2 H&W Welders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Institute vs H&W Welders?

Institute vs H&W Welders (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.