Value bet: Warrenpoint Town to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWarrenpoint Town to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Championship brings Ballinamallard United against Warrenpoint Town. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ballinamallard United are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Warrenpoint Town are 10th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ballinamallard United, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen's University, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Warrenpoint Town, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Strabane Athletic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Warrenpoint Town 1–0 Ballinamallard United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballinamallard United 1.4 xG, Warrenpoint Town 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballinamallard United 36%, draw 22%, Warrenpoint Town 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Warrenpoint Town to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballinamallard United 1–1 Warrenpoint Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballinamallard United36%fair 2.76 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Warrenpoint Town42%fair 2.36 · @2.62
2.92Expected goals
1.39Ballinamallard United xG
1.53Warrenpoint Town xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 1.4 – 1.5 Warrenpoint Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Warrenpoint Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 1–1 Warrenpoint Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
