Value bet: Loughgall to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLoughgall to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Loughgall travel to face Strabane Athletic on Friday 16 October in the Championship – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Strabane Athletic are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; Loughgall are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Strabane Athletic, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Warrenpoint Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Loughgall, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Moyola Park, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strabane Athletic 1.0 xG, Loughgall 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strabane Athletic 21%, draw 18%, Loughgall 61%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Loughgall to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strabane Athletic 1–1 Loughgall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strabane Athletic21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @3.40
Loughgall61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
2.89Expected goals
0.98Strabane Athletic xG
1.91Loughgall xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Strabane Athletic 1.0 – 1.9 Loughgall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✗
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Loughgall (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Strabane Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Loughgall to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Loughgall ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Strabane Athletic – last 6
LDWDDL
10 Oct
@ Warrenpoint Town
0–1
L
2 Oct
vs Armagh City
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Ards
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Dundela
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Newry City AFC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Queen's University
0–6
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loughgall – last 6
LWLDLL
10 Oct
vs Moyola Park
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Newry City AFC
2–1
W
25 Sep
@ Glenavon FC
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Armagh City
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Queen's University
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
1–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strabane Athletic and Loughgall.
What is the prediction for Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
On our numbers Strabane Athletic have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Loughgall 61%.
How many goals will there be in Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
Our predicted score is Strabane Athletic 1–1 Loughgall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
