Ards 38%Draw 21%Newry City AFC 41%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.49
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Newry City AFC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewry City AFC to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Ards vs Newry City AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Championship brings Ards against Newry City AFC. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ards are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Newry City AFC are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Ards, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Armagh City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Newry City AFC, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Newington Youth, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ards 1.4 xG, Newry City AFC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ards 38%, draw 21%, Newry City AFC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Newry City AFC to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ards 1–1 Newry City AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ards38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Newry City AFC41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
2.92Expected goals
1.43Ards xG
1.49Newry City AFC xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ards 1.4 – 1.5 Newry City AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
41%
2.45
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Draw no bet
Newry City AFC (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Ards +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Newry City AFC to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Ards – last 6
DDLWDL
24 Oct
@ Armagh City
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Rathfriland
0–0
D
16 Oct
vs Institute
0–2
L
9 Oct
@ Newington Youth
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Ballinamallard United
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Strabane Athletic
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Newry City AFC – last 6
LLDWLW
23 Oct
vs Newington Youth
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Carrick Rangers
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Queen's University
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Dundela
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Loughgall
1–2
L
25 Sep
vs H&W Welders
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ards and Newry City AFC.
What is the prediction for Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ards vs Newry City AFC?
On our numbers Ards have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newry City AFC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ards vs Newry City AFC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Our predicted score is Ards 1–1 Newry City AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Ards vs Newry City AFC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
